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S&P 500 up 30.6% in Trump's second term's first 20 months

10/15/2026

The S&P 500 has gained 30.6% since President Donald Trump took office for his second term, a performance that exceeds the 28.5% rise recorded over the same 20-month period of his first term.

As of September 30, the index is pacing ahead of its historical trajectory from the previous administration, positioning 2026 for a positive annual performance barring a significant fourth-quarter decline.

During the first term, 2018 remains the worst year for stocks, with the S&P 500 losing 5.2% largely due to a trade war with China.

In contrast, the current market environment is navigating different geopolitical pressures, including an ongoing war in Ukraine that has outlasted U.S.

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