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S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio hits 40 as bond yields reach 2002 highs

10/15/2026

The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio has risen to just over 40, a level close to the dot-com era record of 44 and significantly above its long-term average of 17.

This valuation metric, which measures the index's 10-year inflation-adjusted earnings, signals elevated prices as the current bull market enters its fourth year.

The S&P 500 is up more than 15% over the last six months, while the Nasdaq Composite has surged nearly 20% in the same period.

Long-term bond yields have recently reached their highest levels since 2002, with both the 10-Year and 30-Year Treasury yields soaring to multi-decade highs.

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