Newssos
Prediction market traders on Kalshi are pricing little chance that the U.S. economy delivers the 3% growth Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has forecast for this year.
The divergence pits an official Washington projection against the aggregate judgment of market participants with money behind their views. Bessent's Forecast Stands Alone Bessent has publicly predicted the U.S.
economy will grow at a 3% pace this year. The Treasury Secretary has not, based on the available sourcing, walked back that call.
A 3% print would represent a notably strong expansion for a mature economy and would exceed growth rates most institutional forecasters have penciled in for the current cycle.
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