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Prediction market traders on Kalshi expect Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh to mention last week's supply shock when he addresses reporters at this week's Federal Reserve press conference, according to data from the platform.
What Kalshi is tracking Kalshi offers markets on specific real-world outcomes, and its traders can take positions on individual words or phrases a Fed chair uses at a press conference.
The current slate of markets spans terms from "oil" to "shock," reflecting how traders are reading Warsh's likely framing of recent supply-side developments, the platform's data shows.
That precision is the point of these markets. Fed press conferences move asset prices, and the chair's exact language shapes how participants interpret the committee's policy posture.
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